Showing posts with label Carl Pavano. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Carl Pavano. Show all posts

Sunday, September 7, 2008

The Mets-Phillies Day/Night Doubleheader May Help The Mets

  • Phillies 6-Mets 2:
With post-traumatic memories dancing in the heads of Mets fans as the team lost their second
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straight game to the Phillies, there are many differences between the collapse of 2007 and what's happening now in September of 2008. Last season, the Mets had been an average (at best) team from early June until they fell apart at season's end; this season they've played like men who were released from prison since the firing of Willie Randolph. (This isn't an overt reflection on Randolph; the questions about the manager's job security were just as stifling as Randolph's and pitching coach Rick Peterson's presence.) Last season, they'd spent just about the entire campaign in first place; this season, they've gone back and forth with the Phillies since getting their house in order with manager Jerry Manuel and pitching coach Dan Warthen. Most importantly, the Mets have Johan Santana pitching the second game of tonight's doubleheader----the exact type of game he was acquired to pitch.
The one thing missing from the Mets last season was that ace who they could give the ball and say, "carry us home". With Santana and his cachet, that is no longer an issue. Even with
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John Maine and Oliver Perez winning 15 games apiece last year, there wasn't that one guy that the team could count on to give them a winning performance regardless of the circumstances.
Another issue that is an advantage for the Mets is that even though they've lost the first two games of this series and seem to have forgotten their bats in Milwaukee, losing the first game of a doubleheader on Sunday and trimming the lead to one game won't be seen as the panic-stricken tragedy that it would have been with the tightly wound Randolph at the helm; with the dearth of the one guy they could count on to go to the mound and deliver the goods; and without the newspapers, talk show imbeciles and everyone else going into conniptions at the mere thought of another September swoon. This may be the most important factor of all.
Part of the reason the team collapsed so completely last season, I think, was because the players heard the whispers of the fans, talk shows and newspapers wondering when the team was going to wake up. It became a self-fulfilling prophecy and everyone, from the front office on down through the entire organization, looked to someone else to get the job done and as a result, everyone played tight and tried not to screw up instead of doing their jobs. Even as they've lost the first two games of this series, the worst case scenario is that they and the Phillies will be all even with twenty games left; that would've looked pretty good early in the season given the way they played under Randolph until he was fired.
Having the break between games and not having to answer a million questions about why
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the Phillies have the hex over the Mets in September; not having to go home and sleep with the feeling of impending doom that permeated the organization last season; not having to read the newspaper accounts of another Mets September stumble before heading back onto the field, and being able to get right back out with their ace on the mound is a huge advantage for those that are still seeing the nightmare of 2007 everywhere they look.
Mets fans are inherently pessimistic and paranoid (with good reason), but if they go out tonight and get what they're paying for from Santana, the combination of no remaining games against the Phillies (unless there's a one-game playoff or they both make the playoffs) should give the entire organization and fan base some breathing room to not worry about what happened in 2007 and move forward. All the pieces are in place to put 2007 to rest once and for all and it starts on the valuable left arm of Johan Santana and is being assisted by this day-night doubleheader.
  • Whither Ben Sheets?
I've gone on about wondering where Ben Sheets is going to end up after this season ad nauseam, but after last night's performance in which he dismantled the Padres I have to keep
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asking: which team is going to ante up the cash on Sheets's potential and not worry about his propensity for getting hurt with various injuries to just about every single part of his body. The most important question that the interested teams (and there will be many) is how high they're willing to go to get that potential and if they're confident that he's going to be able to get out on the mound on a regular basis.
Is Sheets going to become Chris Carpenter, who overcame injury after injury with the Blue Jays, got healthy with the Cardinals and won 36 games over two years and won the Cy Young Award in one season and finished in third place the next year? Will he become Jim Palmer, who went 15-10 in his first full year in the majors during the Orioles 1966 championship season then missed most of the 1967 season with injuries; spent 1968 rehabilitating and became a three-time Cy Young Award winner and a Hall of Famer upon returning to the majors in 1969? Or is he going to be another Carl Pavano, who received a giant contract and couldn't stay healthy? (It's very interesting how Pavano is now blaming the doctors for his woes----NY
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Times Article, but I digress.) It's a big commitment that a team is going to make for Sheets with a massive risk/reward.
Sheets's teammate with the Brewers, C.C. Sabathia is putting himself into position to not only steal the National League Cy Young Award from Brandon Webb in just three months of work, but to make an even larger haul than Johan Santana got from the Mets. As for Sheets, the losers in the Sabathia sweepstakes will be calling him as a backup plan and he'd be smart to wait and see where Sabathia winds up before signing anywhere. If I were an executive for one of the teams that has the money to give Sheets the $110+ million he's going to want (and get), I'd possibly be staking my job on whether or not he's able to stay healthy for the 5-7 years of his contract.
If I were advising someone like Omar Minaya or Brian Cashman (if he's still with the Yankees), my recommendation would be to take the large chunks of cash that are coming off the books and invest it in Sheets; the change in scenery and different training staffs and medical teams might keep him healthy and he's one of the best pitchers in baseball when he's able to get out on the mound. My gut instinct is to take the risk because Sheets is Hall of Fame good when he's at his best and a 2009 Mets rotation, for example, with Santana, Sheets, John Maine and Mike Pelfrey would look very intimidating as they came into town. It's a big risk, but my gut feeling is that he's going to be worth it even with his aches and pains.
  • Enough already with the moaning and complaining about C.C. Sabathia's lost no-hitter:
Buster Olney linked an article in the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel in which Tom Haudricourt suggests that Major League Baseball institute a fifth umpire to score the game so another incident as happened to C.C. Sabathia and the no-hitter that wasn't doesn't happen again----Article. This reminds me of the scene late in the movie Interview with the Vampire in which Lestat, the Tom Cruise character, hears a tape of Louis, the Brad Pitt character complaining
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about his life as a vampire and asks interviewer Christian Slater:

Lestat: Oh Louis, Louis. Still whining Louis. Have you heard enough? I've had to listen to that for centuries.

It wasn't as if Sabathia had a no-hitter with two outs in the ninth inning and saw it snatched from his grasp by a bad call. It was a fifth inning judgment call that I've already said that I disagreed with; but what's done is done. All the Brewers have done since this happened is complain about it. They petitioned the league for a scoring change and were rejected. Now, these articles that are being written about it and it's enough. Sabathia wasn't all that bothered about it, so why can't everyone just stop whining and let it go. Can everyone move on with their lives please?
Am I alone in not wanting to hear about it anymore? A drastic change has just been made to the way umpires call the game with the installation of instant replay, are they supposed to add an umpire just so an official scorer won't be able to "steal" a no-hitter that may not have happened anyway? Baseball scoring has been done this way pretty much since the game began and a change isn't necessary because of one call that didn't go the way people with a vested interest in the outcome wanted it. I just don't want to hear about it anymore. (That being said, I might be swayed if the Brewers continue to whine, moan and complain because anything that puts a stop to this silliness is good enough for me.)

Thursday, September 4, 2008

Pavano's Weak Stuff And Other Stories

  • Yankees 8-Rays 4; Pavano's stuff just ain't there:
Carl Pavano has shown some guts in coming back to try and help the Yankees in some
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way over the last month and redeem the previous 3 3/4 years with the team that can only be described as disastrous and embarrassing on and off the field; that being said, his stuff just isn't there at all. His fastball is puttering in at a high of 88 and is coming in anywhere under that; his sinker isn't sinking, instead it's taking a slight lateral movement at the hitting zone; his changeup is good enough, but with a fastball that's not all that fast, the changeup loses it's effectiveness; his slider isn't doing much of anything at all. He looks like he's getting hitters out because they're either stunned that his stuff is so weak or they're too anxious and unaccustomed to a big leaguer throwing such substandard junk.
It's strange because a pitcher who comes back from Tommy John surgery tends to throw
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harder than he did before, but that hasn't happened with Pavano. The only things I can surmise are that he's still building arm strength or there's something not right with him and he doesn't want to say. If this is what he's got to work with now, he's going to have trouble securing anything more next season other than a Mark Prior-type contract in which the team that signs him is going to bring Pavano to camp to see if he can give them anything. If he thinks a month of starts is going to guarantee him anything more than a short-term contract laden with incentives, he's in for a big surprise, but in looking at how he's pitching, it shouldn't be any surprise at all.
  • Astros 4-Cubs 0; can the Astros pull this off?
The Astros can forget about the NL Central because eleven games is too much to make up over the final 22 games, but they're only 6 1/2 games out of the Wild Card lead and their
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schedule is notoriously weak over the final month. Other than three more games with the Cubs starting September 12th, they play: the Rockies, Pirates, Reds, Marlins and Braves. The teams ahead of the Astros in the Wild Card standings, the Brewers, Cardinals and Phillies have a much tougher road.
The Brewers have ten games remaining with the Cubs and Phillies; the Phillies have those games with the Brewers, plus three with the Mets; and the Cardinals have ten with the Diamondbacks and Cubs. After all the ridicule the blazing hot Astros endured little more than a month ago for "needlessly" trading for veteran help, it's legitimately possible that they could still be alive for a playoff spot going into the last weekend with the Braves and no one other than the Astros thought that would be possible.
  • Nationals 9-Phillies 7; Charlie Manuel's reliever-abuse is showing:
The wear on the tires of the Phillies entire bullpen is starting show. J.C. Romero is pitching in almost every game (much as he did last year) and looks exhausted even if he doesn't make
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himself unavailable to pitch; Chad Durbin has been brilliant this season, but as he's forged that new career as a reliever, the fact that he's been a career-long starter and has never pitched in more than 36 games in a season is diminishing his performance. The other members of the Phillies bullpen----Clay Condrey, Scott Eyre, Ryan Madson and Brad Lidge----are going to feel the affects on and off the field before too long if they aren't already. (I'd be willing to be heavily that they are.)
Eyre came over from the Cubs and, after being a lefty specialist used for one or two batters at a time for the last several years, has found himself pitching multiple innings to lefties and righties; he's pitched well, but how long before the wear and tear of this sudden change causes an injury, ineffectiveness or both? Manuel can argue that it's being done out of necessity, but he still hasn't shown any
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restraint in the use of his relievers from the time the season started until now and with the Phillies three games behind the Mets, they're not going to be able to give any of those pitchers any rest.
Just like last season in which the Phillies bullpen heroically and selflessly sacrificed their bodies for the good of the cause of their comeback, the pitchers aren't going to complain and say they're unable to pitch when the team needs them; but because the Phillies authored such a miraculous comeback over the Mets in 2007, it's forgotten how they flamed out in the playoffs and were swept away by the Rockies before they even
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knew what happened.
Part of the reason for that was because the comeback attempt was so intense on a night-by-night basis that the playoffs was almost a letdown after they finally caught and passed the Mets; the adrenaline that was carrying them petered out; the same thing is happening now and it's because of the way Charlie Manuel handles his bullpen that the Phillies are staggering toward the finish with 22 games left. They're running on fumes with no rest stop in sight and they're in big trouble because those pitchers can only reach back so far until there's nothing left to give, and what should frighten Phillies fans is that they may have reached that point.

Saturday, August 30, 2008

Yankees In A Catch-42

  • Yankees 2-Blue Jays 1:
Imagine you're Joe Girardi and as you sit in the dugout trying to nursemaid your set-up
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men Jose Veras and Edwar Ramirez through the eighth inning of a game you must win, you look up at the scoreboard and see that both the Red Sox and Rays are blowing out their respective opponents. Not only that, but the Red Sox happen to be beating up on one of the teams directly in front of the Yankees, the White Sox. With a chance to gain a game on one of the teams you're going to have to pass to get into playoff position and the two direct competitors in your own division winning easily, what do you do?
What do you do as you watch Jose Veras put Carl Pavano's second straight gutty performance (with stuff that could only be classified as mediocre) in jeopardy after Pavano outdueled a pitcher who's on his way to possiby winning 20 games in A.J. Burnett? What do you do, after Veras gives up a hit and a walk and you bring in Ramirez who records an out via strikeout and Joe Inglett, a left-handed contact hitter having a solid year is coming to the plate with one out and the game in the balance?
It's simple you think, I have the greatest closer in baseball history in the bullpen warming up and ready; but bear in mind that the greatest closer in baseball history is going to be 39-years-old later this year; that he's accustomed to only pitching one inning to get his saves; that most of the times he's recorded saves of more than a single inning have been in do-or-die situations; that he's pitched more than one inning six times since August 12th; that he recorded four outs to save another imperative game against the Red Sox just 30 hours before; what do you do?
You think it's an easy decision? Knowing you have to win every game you can? That if you have a 2-1 advantage, you can't simply let Rivera's workload dictate a game's result if losing that game will put you seven games behind the Red Sox and eleven and a half behind the Rays? Do you
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even have a choice? Girardi did the right thing in bringing Rivera in and there may be eighth inning help on the way from Joba Chamberlain, but there are going to be other situations like this over the final month because the Yankees cannot afford to lose games like this in which they're in a position to win. If it was a blowout one way or the other, it's a convenient way to give Rivera the days off he needs, but the situation is such that Girardi had no options and he had to put Rivera in for another eighth inning save. It's going to be this way for the final month of the season and even if the Yankees somehow pull off a miracle and make the playoffs, the question is going to have to be asked, is Rivera going to have anything left to give in October?
  • Mets 5-Marlins 4:
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Kevin Gregg is not a very reliable closer and I could almost hear the Phillies cussing and throwing things in Chicago as Carlos Beltran's two-out grand slam sailed into the right field bleachers of Dolphin Stadium.
  • Cubs 3-Phillies 2:
Yesterday was my first look at Jeff Samardzija and combining him and his fastball (upwards of 95 mph), with Carlos Marmol (a funky motion and another power fastball) and Kerry Wood will give the Cubs a 2008 version of manager Lou Piniella's famed Nasty Boys from the 1990 Reds; the games are going to be over after the sixth inning, sort of like little league.
  • Republican Vice Presidential nominee...Sarah Palin?
This might have been an inspired choice for John McCain if he were ten to fifteen years younger, but in an attempt to appease the religious right/zealot/lunatic fringe of the republican party who cannot stand him, he picked a young woman with almost no experience whatsoever other than a year and
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a half as the governor of the almost forgotten state of Alaska. Do McCain and his advisers really believe that Sarah Palin is going to attract the disgruntled voters of Hillary Clinton? Does he think that they're going to look past her stance on abortion (against it in all cases); guns (enthusiastic member of the NRA); and beliefs (she wants to have creationism taught in schools) and vote for a 72-year-old man whose health isn't all that great and whose mental acuity deserts him from time-to-time and run the very real risk that she's going to have to step in and be the president of the United States? Think about it.
If McCain were 62 instead of 72, then appeasing the radical right wing of the party was a good idea; but the Hillary voters who have a problem with Barack Obama are either going to look at their choices and stay home, or shut their eyes when they walk into the booth and vote for Obama; a minuscule number of women are going to vote based on gender. This was a big mistake and a complete turnaround from McCain's image as a maverick because it wasn't
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done because he wanted to do it, it was done for political expediency.
I believe deeply that the republicans are throwing McCain to the wolves knowing that they're almost assuredly going to lose in November and are looking toward 2012 when they'll be able to run the likes of Mitt Romney or some other more palatable candidate to the radical base and centrists that they need to win. They were hoping to stay close and maybe capitalize on Obama's newness (in every aspect of his story) and just as they threw Bob Dole in to run against Bill Clinton hoping that the Clinton baggage would allow Dole to win, they're hoping that McCain can somehow pull out a squeaker; this pick makes it clearer than ever that they're desperate to the point of throwing in everything but the kitchen sink and it's not going to work; in fact, it makes things worse.

Sunday, August 24, 2008

The Triumphant(!) Return Of Carl Pavano And Other Stories

  • Yankees 5-Orioles 3:
It wasn't a David Cone/seven no-hit innings in a comeback from aneurysm surgery kind of performance for Carl Pavano, but all things being equal, it wasn't all that bad. Pavano's stuff wasn't great;
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his control wasn't great; and he was lucky, but after four years of embarrassment on and off the field, a win is a win is a win. Before anyone gets all enthusiastic about a possible useful month from
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Pavano, it has to be remembered that he acquitted himself well in his two starts in April of 2007 before going on the disabled list with Tommy John surgery, so it's a start-by-start thing with him and the Yankees should put him out on the mound as long as he says he's able and use him for whatever they can get out of him over the last month.
The thing that sticks out for me in this whole episode was revealed in the recap of the game in the New York Times----Story. Here's the relevant clip:

When the Yankees were courting Pavano in 2004 — taking him to “Mamma Mia!” on Broadway, with General Manager Brian Cashman dancing in the aisles — they never could have expected what would happen to their $39.95 million, and medical expenses.

They took him to see Mamma Mia!? And they used this as a selling point? And Brian
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Cashman, the general manager of the New York Yankees, was dancing in the aisles? Say what you want about Pavano on the field, but off the field he's a guy's guy; he chases girls, drives fast cars and lives his life; I find it hard to believe he had any interest whatsoever in Mamma Mia! other than scouring the cast for potential dates. In fact, if the idea were suggested to me to go see the show as part of the free agent courting process, there's a pretty good chance I would've gone to see the show and afterwards dragged Cashman into an alley, beaten him up and taken his wallet.
  • Angels 7-Twins 5; the importance of long relievers as game stabilizers:
The most unsung parts of any winning team are the long relievers who rarely receive attention unless they do something bad; don't make much money; don't accrue gaudy stats
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and are unappreciated by the general public. Smart baseball people know how important it is to have a pitcher who's able to enter a game in the middle innings and calm things down because the only time these types of pitchers get into a game is when the starting pitcher is knocked out early. One of the ignored pieces of the Los Angeles Angels bullpen is veteran lefty Darren Oliver.
Oliver was a successful starter early in his career and has fashioned a new job for himself as a long man out of the bullpen. He was an important part of the 2006 Mets and is now imperative to the Angels because when one of their starters gets knocked around, it's Oliver who's called upon. Many times, the game is in danger of getting out of hand when the long man enters; usually his team ends up losing no matter how well or poorly he does; but it's when he comes into a game with his team behind and stabilizes things, giving his team a chance to come back, that his value is realized.
In last night's game against the Twins, the Angels built a 6-1 lead for starter Jon Garland before the Twins started pecking away and got to within 6-4 in the fifth inning with runners on second and third and one out; Garland was yanked in favor of Oliver. Oliver proceeded to get Justin Morneau to ground out to first, scoring one run to make it 6-5; Jason Kubel grounded to second to end the inning. Oliver pitched the sixth and seventh innings, allowing only an infield single before giving way to the glamorous (and better-paid) parts of the Angels
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bullpen, set-up man Scot Shields and closer Francisco Rodriguez. Shields gets the eighth inning "hold"; Rodriguez gets the save; and Oliver gets the appreciation from his teammates for stopping the Twins rally and getting them to the money men.
Oliver's an understated type who doesn't want any publicity; and he's come close to retiring several times; first when he was cut by the Mets on the last day of spring training 2006, only to see the team change their minds and bring him back; and then before the Angels called with a job offer that was partially accepted because he wanted to be closer to his family if he was going to continue to play. There are many games that are getting out-of-hand when a pitcher like Oliver enters and no one notices if the team doesn't come back; but there are also many games like last night's win, which might not have happened if the Angels didn't have a guy like Oliver who can handle the pressure, throws strikes and does his job without complaint.
  • Blue Jays 11-Red Sox 0; Vernon Wells pads his stats with a team not really in, but not completely out of contention:
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I've called Vernon Wells a player making $100 million rather than a $100 million player because he's essentially done nothing since signing that big contract to forgo free agency and stay with the Blue Jays. The argument that injuries have curtailed his production doesn't account for his woeful 2007 season----Wells Stats----but now he's starting to heat up after missing a big chunk of this season. Yesterday, Wells homered twice and his numbers are looking pretty good; if he has a solid final month and stays healthy, he'll be close to 20 homers and 85 RBI, but injuries or not, is that a season worthy of a player with Wells's contract?
A player who is worth the money that Wells is making is not putting up these numbers once his team is out of contention. Where would the Cardinals be if Albert Pujols hadn't put off elbow surgery to play through the pain? There were many voices, credible and not, saying
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that since the Cardinals looked to be so terrible in the spring that Pujols should just have the surgery immediately rather than trying to drag a rickety and unusable cart like the rest of the Cardinals roster on his back.
A guy like Wells with his superior talent should have been putting these numbers up early in the season when the Blue Jays were desperate for power, their front office was making decisions that were based on money rather than wins (releasing Frank Thomas), and they weren't scoring enough runs to support the solid work of their pitching staff. Wells has gotten hot now that the Blue Jays----67-62, two games behind the Yankees and not in any realistic contention barring an almost impossible Rockies-like hot streak----are playing out the string and trying to put up a respectable record to again save GM J.P. Ricciardi's job.
The reality of the situation would be obvious to people paying attention to the circumstances in which a player puts up his numbers, but given the way the Blue Jays ownership has been taken in by the bluster of Riccardi along with his embarrassing missteps, there's every possibility they're going to take Wells's hot streak as a portent for the future; if they do that, there's no reason to believe that they're going to take proper steps to fix their franchise, which ends every season with 80-some wins leading them to think that they're going to contend the next year, only to repeat the process again and again.
  • Giants 4-Padres 3; the Padres should trade Jake Peavy:
A few weeks ago, I wondered whether a devoid franchise like the Padres should try to
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recover as quickly as possible by trading their two most marketable quantities in Adrian Gonzalez and Jake Peavy; now I know they should trade Jake Peavy. The Padres (48-81), heading toward 100 losses and with an owner in the midst of a divorce and possibly cutting the team payroll down to $40 million, have no hope of contending in the near future. Peavy, with his brutally violent motion is a pitcher who's destined to get hurt, but he has a reasonable contract through 2012----contract----and many teams have the prospects and motivation to take a chance on Peavy.
I don't have any faith at all in the Padres front office; nor do I think they'd be able to extract an adequate haul for a former Cy Young Award winner with or without his terrible mechanics (these ain't the brilliantly smart and savvy Marlins we're talking about here), but if they're slashing salary, they'll be better-served to re-stock the organization as best they can and they can do that by putting Peavy out on the market to see who bites, because someone definitely will.

Saturday, August 23, 2008

Zambrano's Lost Tooth And The Triumphant(?) Return Of Carl Pavano

  • Carlos Zambrano loses a tooth while pitching...and keeps right on going; big deal or not?
I haven't spent as much time on the Cubs as I probably should have (some might see such
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a lack of attention as a good thing); they're clearly a serious contender for the World Series and it's all likely to come down to whether Kerry Wood can handle the closing role in the playoffs; right now, that's an iffy proposition and manager Lou Piniella is going to have to make that judgment and switch to Carlos Marmol if necessary; the playoffs (especially the first round of the playoffs where a team can be gone before they realize what happened----like last year for the Cubs) is not a time to be screwing around if a first-year closer can't do the job. Other than that, they're well-built for a long playoff run because they get good starting pitching, they hit and hit for power and they catch the ball. It's no coincidence how Piniella's teams have always played the game correctly.
Speaking of their starting pitching, strange things are always happening to their ace,
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Carlos Zambrano. Zambrano sometimes appears to get so excited out on the mound that he bears a resemblance to a volcano about to erupt----not in anger, but in enthusiasm. He's hyperventilated on the mound because he gets so pumped up; has had problems with his forearm from spending too much time on the internet; punched walls in anger; and now, on Thursday, he lost a tooth while warming up. Zambrano claims it's from all the sugar in the gum he's always chewing, but he might have just been grinding too hard as he exerts himself, weakened the tooth until it eventually broke like the chipping away at a block of clay. It must've hurt, but aren't the armchair athletes making a bigger deal out of this than necessary?
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Hockey players, who abuse their bodies far more than the average baseball player----and far more than even the most active pitcher----get their teeth knocked out on a regular basis in a much more brutal way; I don't see or hear them being discussed as inordinately tough partially because if they can't stoically take the pain of being in the NHL, they're not going to be in the NHL for very long. Football players get their teeth knocked out as well and no one notices. In all fairness to Zambrano, this to me isn't that big of a deal.
  • Previewing tonight's start for Carl Pavano, 502 days in the making:
After all the head shakes, jokes and ridicule; with his desire to pitch rightfully questioned and the allegations that he'd rather go to the beach and meet girls than earn his lofty salary;
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and the disbelieving tone of his former manager Joe Torre who, while managing the Dodgers in Philadelphia, quizzically asked visiting New York reporters, “Is Pavano really going to pitch tomorrow?” without even trying to hide his disbelief; there's still time for Pavano to contribute something to the Yankees. He'll never be able to make up for the time missed and implications of disinterest, but he can help his team over the final month.
If I were manager Joe Girardi, one thing I would tell Pavano repeatedly is that he can't try to make up for everything that's happened over the past four years; that he has to stay within a gameplan and instead of trying to make amends all at once, he needs to execute his pitches and help his team by doing the best he can and not strike out every hitter as if he were an in-his-prime Randy Johnson. Publicly, the Yankees are
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saying all the right things about Pavano; that they expect him to compete and that he's on about a 100 pitch count; privately, I'm sure they'll be happy if he gives them five innings and allows three runs, and exits the game able to make his next start without some other catastrophe happening to him. (After that picture to the left was taken, did he end up Touching 'Em All? I wonder.)
If I had to make a bet, I'd say that Pavano is going to get shelled; he's in a hitter's ballpark against a team that can hit and he's bound to be nervous and rusty. That being said, he's still a better option than the likes of Ian Kennedy (which is a sad statement in and of itself after all the pre-season hype the rookie pitcher received), and the Yankees have a right to try and get something out of that sunk cost before Pavano is shown the door. Whether they will get anything from Pavano is the question.

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Maddux Heading Back To The Dodgers

  • Greg Maddux about to be traded to the Dodgers:
Jayson Stark is reporting that the Padres, who, at the trading deadline, tried desperately to trade Greg Maddux to
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the only team the veteran was willing to join----the Dodgers----are close to completing a deal----ESPN Story. The big question with Maddux is what he has left for the Dodgers as they try to collect veterans for the stretch run to outlast the Diamondbacks.
With the acquisitions of Manny Ramirez and Casey Blake; the resurgent veterans Nomar Garciaparra and Jeff Kent; and the young players Andre Ethier, Matt Kemp and James Loney maturing, the Dodgers have enough offense to operate. Their pitching has been injury-riddled and while Maddux isn't going to be an inspirational leader; nor is he going to provide much more than 85 pitches and six innings, he is a veteran starter that manager Joe Torre will be able to trust down the stretch.
At this point in his career, Maddux's managers know relatively quickly what they're going to get out of him on a particular day, so if he's giving up rockets all over the field, he's not going to take it personally if he's yanked in the second inning. The Dodgers bullpen is deep enough that Maddux's penchant for taking himself out of games isn't going to be a detriment and one would hope that they're not giving up much of anything to get him (the story says it's two players to be named later).
It's not easy to get a deal done when a player is only willing to go to one destination and with a team like the Padres, it's better to get a couple of bodies for Maddux. The Padres are getting something for a pitcher who's not going to help them in the future and the Dodgers are getting a veteran arm to augment their rotation and, they hope, the playoffs.
  • Why is the impending return of Carl Pavano still entertained as anything but a sideshow?
Again we're hearing about a possible return to the mound for Carl Pavano, this time on Saturday. Is there anyone who thinks that this is anything to even be discussing seriously?
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Pavano, with a month remaining on his contract for which he has received a gift of $40 million for nothing, is rehabbing from Tommy John surgery and the Yankees are hoping to get some use out of him over the final month.
Is this a joke? Pavano is like the guy who receives a scholarship to a great private high school, does nothing other than party for his first 3 3/4 years and then returns a month before graduation with stacks and stacks of make-up work trying to get a recommendation to college from the teachers whose only response to his arrival in class is, "who are you?" Is he thinking that there's any possibility that the Yankees are going to pick up his $13 million option for next year? Before scoffing, realize that this is Pavano and with all the nonsense that's gone on since he signed (the majority of it off the field and in doctor's offices), anything is possible.
  • White Sox 13-Mariners 5:
Is anyone with an idea about baseball holding the fort in Seattle until they hire a new GM? Jarrod Washburn has been mostly awful since signing a four-year, $37.5 million contract with
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the Mariners after the 2005 season; they're going nowhere this year and could use the money from Washburn's contract to bring in some better performers at more reasonable prices and slash some dead money. The Yankees were willing to take Washburn's contract off their hands, but didn't want to give up any prospects of note; the Mariners got greedy and backed off. They then put Washburn on waivers and for some unfathomable reason, the Twins claimed him; then they even offered a young pitcher with good stuff, but bad results, in Boof Bonser and the Mariners still turned it down. What do they want for Washburn? Joba Chamberlain?
Getting Washburn's contract off the books would've been good enough for me, but the
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Mariners' delusions and greed almost worked out for them since Bonser is, at best, a mid-rotation starter and at worst, a functioning arm out of the bullpen. Now, after Washburn pitched well enough from May through July to even get those teams interested in the first place, he's back to what he's been throughout his time in Seattle----terrible----but luckily for the Mariners, they'll have him next year as well so they can go through this all over again. Only next time, they'll possibly have someone running the organization who knows to get out of Dodge when the opportunity presents itself.

Saturday, August 9, 2008

Yankees Can't Keep Putting Ian Kennedy Out There

  • Angels 10-Yankees 5:
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Developing players is one thing, but having a young pitcher like Ian Kennedy go out to the mound and be non-competitive is another. (At this point, they might be better off using Ted Kennedy.) If the Yankees have any intention of staying within striking range of the Red Sox and
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Rays, they're either going to have to make a deal for another starting pitcher or they're going to fade out----it's that simple. And if they think that Kennedy is capable of doing anything in his career other than being a colossal bust, they have to seriously think about sending him back to the minors and leaving him there for the rest of the season because there is such a thing as big league shellshock and if Kennedy gets it into his head that he's dominating in Triple A and can't pitch in the majors, it will quickly become a self-fulfilling prophecy. Or it could be that he's just not that good; that he's fine when pitching to the career minor leaguers and fringe major leaguers that permeate Triple A, but can't get true big leaguers out; that's something that has to be seriously considered as well. The problem the Yankees have is that the word is out on Kennedy and any team that felt the same way about his potential as the Yankees did before the season isn't going to give up anything of consequence to get him, so he's untradeable unless the Yankees give him away, which they won't. The best course of action may be the
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first option I suggested in sending him down and telling him to be ready for spring training 2009 because anything and anyone would be a better option at this point. Speaking of which...
Carl Pavano has been discussed as being "solid" in his rehab starts and again there are expectations that he's going to be able to contribute something in the last month of his four-year, $40 million contract for which he has provided nothing more than a load of deserved ridicule. I don't want to hear one word about Carl Pavano and if anyone's expecting anything from the worst free agent signing ever, they're either taking hallucinatory narcotics or are living in NeverNeverLand.
  • Brewers 5-Nationals 0:
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With every complete game and scoreless inning that C.C. Sabathia puts up, it's possible to hear two syllables over and over again: Cha-ching!
  • Brian Giles vetoes a trade to the Red Sox:
There's a sense of annoyance on all ends when a player exercises his contractual right to veto a trade. The trading team gets irritated because they could've gotten a body or two for a player that they're not going to have after the season anyway; the acquiring team and their fans get offended because it's as if they're being rejected----"You don't want to join us? How dare you!!" But the entire idea behind a player receiving a no-trade provision is that he can reject his current team's attempt to send him somewhere that he doesn't want to go.
Sometimes it's because of money (many players have the Yankees, Red Sox and other big market teams on their no-trade list because the player will demand a contract extension to join them);
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sometimes it's because they sign contracts for less money to be in a more comfortable spot so they can be near their families and don't want to pick up and leave in August. It's not a matter of going, in the case of Giles, from an atrocious Padres team to a contending Red Sox team; it's a matter of moving on short notice and leaving his home for the last two-plus months of the season.
I think Giles would have been a good pickup for the Red Sox had he okayed the deal and the dimensions of Fenway might have returned his power to a point. Giles hits the ball to all fields and with the Green Monster to shoot at, would have at least provided some extra base power if not the home run power from earlier in his career; he rejected the deal, so the point is moot.
There was some suggestion that the Red Sox claimed Giles to keep him from going to the Angels or Rays, but I believe those allegations of waiver "blocks" are overblown. If Giles were a true difference maker who'd be a power bat for either of those teams then maybe (such a player would be a Matt Holliday or Chipper Jones), but I don't believe that anyone's going to get into such a twist about Brian Giles at this point in his career. The Red Sox claimed him because they could use him; if the "block" to keep him from the Angels or Rays was a part of the equation, it was only an ancillary thought